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Market Update: Chase The Reward?

As most of you know, I don't rely solely on Risk/Reward Charts. In fact, Risk/Reward Charts only come into play once I have performed a thorough fundamental analysis. In other words, fundamental analysis is the primary source of investment decision-making. Risk/Reward Charts are secondary. Keep in mind, there are also tertiary sources that should be consulted. Technical analysis is among the most notable. After 30 years of studying the stock market, it's fairly clear to me that the efficacy of technical analysis mainly stems from the fact that so many people follow and believe in it. Like Bitcoin, it would [...]

By |June 4th, 2017|Categories: News|

Update For June 2 – RDCM, SSNI, & More

The 1% Portfolio continues to perform well. My 2017 picks are up an average of 15%. I expect to add one or two new picks very soon, so keep your eyes peeled! Here's the latest on the stocks I've been tracking... Orange Announcement -- Green Light for RADCOM (NASDAQ:RDCM)? Orange (NYSE:ORAN) has boosted its guidance on capital expenditures for 2017. It's now planning €7.2B (about $8.1B) in capex for this year, up from a previously forecast €7.1B. The company sees spending peaking in 2018 or 2019 as it ramps up for 5G. This ramp could be beneficial for RADCOM because [...]

By |June 2nd, 2017|Categories: News|

Stock & Market Updates

So far, retiring from Track & Field has been a money-making move. The 1% Portfolio remains on a roll. My five most-recent picks are up an average of 12% (with an average holding time of just over one week). We'll try to keep it going. In the meantime, here are some updates... Markets & Highs As the NASDAQ, Bitcoin, and other asset classes make new highs, it's important for investors to keep their heads on straight. Tuesday's article from Lance Roberts provides a perfect reality check. It's important to note that most of his money is still in the market. [...]

By |May 30th, 2017|Categories: News|

Pixelworks Makes A Buy, So I’ve Made It A Sell

A few days ago, Pixelworks (NASDAQ:PXLW) announced its intention to acquire Toronto-based ViXS Systems. The terms call for a steep premium, so the acquisition won't be accretive until next year, at a minimum. Prior to this announcement, I was already becoming leery of PXLW's rising valuation (solely on the basis of Risk/Reward, which you should all know from my investment Methodology). This deal only added to my concerns. Let's start with the announcement: "Pixelworks, Inc., a leading provider of visual processing solutions and Toronto-based ViXS Systems Inc. (TSX: VXS), a pioneer in media processing, encoding and transcoding solutions, today announced [...]

By |May 22nd, 2017|Categories: News|

My Top 5 Holdings

Hi, I know I've been quiet, but there hasn't been much to say lately. The Yellow Alert is still in effect. The Russell 2000 has validated this by remaining stuck in a trading range for over 4 months. I focus on risk/reward charts, so I'm not going to predict if the market will correct (drop 10%+). However, I do find it problematic that the Trump Rally hasn't reversed itself (despite clear signs that his key market-moving goals are not being accomplished in a timely manner, if at all). I also find it problematic that U.S. GDP was originally supposed to [...]

By |April 18th, 2017|Categories: News|

Trump Trumped: Now What?

In my most-recent Seeking Alpha update, I said that "investors can find big winners amid the rubble of recent tax-loss losers. On top of the move being overdone, it's becoming clear that tax reform may not come until 2018 (due to the time and challenges involved with repealing/replacing Obamacare). Thus, a reversal could be looming. I'll be presenting my selections as they present themselves via my Instablog, here on Seeking Alpha." It was a wild week in the market. The foiled attempted to repeal Obamacare whipsawed stock prices and reversed some trends that had been in place since the election. [...]

By |March 27th, 2017|Categories: News|

Ways To Buy Near Market Highs

At present, I officially remain on "Yellow Alert". As a reminder, a "Yellow Alert" is when the markets reach elevated Risk/Reward levels, regardless of fundamental strength (which we currently see in the economy). Of course, it's much more fun to remain an unfettered bull during a bull market - I picked about a dozen stocks that tripled for Seeking Alpha readers between 2009 and 2013. However, the style of investing I was taught (and now teach) focuses on attacking the low-hanging fruit (in both bull and bear markets). At times like this, I've learned that it's best to take a [...]

By |March 20th, 2017|Categories: News|

Here’s Why The Market Rally Has Left Small Caps Behind

With President Trump's desire to lower corporate taxes and America-first agenda, one would think that small caps would be benefiting the most. After all, smaller companies actually (and ironically) pay higher taxes. They are also more insulated from trade wars (because they don't do as much business overseas) and better positioned to benefit from an increase in U.S. economic activity. Despite this, the Russell 2000 is only up about 4% since I initiated my latest Yellow Alert (in late November). The iShares Russell 2000 ETF (NYSEARCA:IWM) chart illustrates this below. In contrast, the S&P 500 (NYSEARCA:SPY) and Dow Jones Industrial [...]

By |March 10th, 2017|Categories: News|

Access Poised To Triple + Some Portfolio Moves

You Can Still Access Poised To Triple As some of you might have noticed, the PoisedToTriple and PTTResearch websites have both gone dark. Before that happened, I sent emails to my partners (who hold control over these website / domains), and their attorney, to ensure that we maintained these sites for customers while resolving our long-ongoing internal dispute. Unfortunately, something must have gone wrong because PoisedToTriple went dark shortly after I emailed them. I tried contacting them to find out what happened, but haven't heard back yet. Luckily, they were smart enough to leave our staging sites live on the [...]

By |March 9th, 2017|Categories: News|

A New Pick To Triple?

I just read that Warren Buffet underperformed the market in 3 out of 4 years during the 70s. During that stretch he underperformed by a cumulative 47%. Yes, forty-seven percent. That would be enough to make many people quit investing. However, when you're investing properly, underperformance is an inevitable risk and occasional occurrence. The reason is simple -- outperformance cannot come from doing what everyone else does. That's called "being average". Sometimes, the pursuit of excellence requires decisions that can create short-term underperformance (and let's face it, four years is "short-term" in the context of an entire life). To be [...]

By |March 6th, 2017|Categories: News|