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My Top 5 Holdings

Hi, I know I've been quiet, but there hasn't been much to say lately. The Yellow Alert is still in effect. The Russell 2000 has validated this by remaining stuck in a trading range for over 4 months. I focus on risk/reward charts, so I'm not going to predict if the market will correct (drop 10%+). However, I do find it problematic that the Trump Rally hasn't reversed itself (despite clear signs that his key market-moving goals are not being accomplished in a timely manner, if at all). I also find it problematic that U.S. GDP was originally supposed to [...]

By |April 18th, 2017|Categories: News|

Trump Trumped: Now What?

In my most-recent Seeking Alpha update, I said that "investors can find big winners amid the rubble of recent tax-loss losers. On top of the move being overdone, it's becoming clear that tax reform may not come until 2018 (due to the time and challenges involved with repealing/replacing Obamacare). Thus, a reversal could be looming. I'll be presenting my selections as they present themselves via my Instablog, here on Seeking Alpha." It was a wild week in the market. The foiled attempted to repeal Obamacare whipsawed stock prices and reversed some trends that had been in place since the election. [...]

By |March 27th, 2017|Categories: News|

Ways To Buy Near Market Highs

At present, I officially remain on "Yellow Alert". As a reminder, a "Yellow Alert" is when the markets reach elevated Risk/Reward levels, regardless of fundamental strength (which we currently see in the economy). Of course, it's much more fun to remain an unfettered bull during a bull market - I picked about a dozen stocks that tripled for Seeking Alpha readers between 2009 and 2013. However, the style of investing I was taught (and now teach) focuses on attacking the low-hanging fruit (in both bull and bear markets). At times like this, I've learned that it's best to take a [...]

By |March 20th, 2017|Categories: News|

Here’s Why The Market Rally Has Left Small Caps Behind

With President Trump's desire to lower corporate taxes and America-first agenda, one would think that small caps would be benefiting the most. After all, smaller companies actually (and ironically) pay higher taxes. They are also more insulated from trade wars (because they don't do as much business overseas) and better positioned to benefit from an increase in U.S. economic activity. Despite this, the Russell 2000 is only up about 4% since I initiated my latest Yellow Alert (in late November). The iShares Russell 2000 ETF (NYSEARCA:IWM) chart illustrates this below. In contrast, the S&P 500 (NYSEARCA:SPY) and Dow Jones Industrial [...]

By |March 10th, 2017|Categories: News|

Access Poised To Triple + Some Portfolio Moves

You Can Still Access Poised To Triple As some of you might have noticed, the PoisedToTriple and PTTResearch websites have both gone dark. Before that happened, I sent emails to my partners (who hold control over these website / domains), and their attorney, to ensure that we maintained these sites for customers while resolving our long-ongoing internal dispute. Unfortunately, something must have gone wrong because PoisedToTriple went dark shortly after I emailed them. I tried contacting them to find out what happened, but haven't heard back yet. Luckily, they were smart enough to leave our staging sites live on the [...]

By |March 9th, 2017|Categories: News|

A New Pick To Triple?

I just read that Warren Buffet underperformed the market in 3 out of 4 years during the 70s. During that stretch he underperformed by a cumulative 47%. Yes, forty-seven percent. That would be enough to make many people quit investing. However, when you're investing properly, underperformance is an inevitable risk and occasional occurrence. The reason is simple -- outperformance cannot come from doing what everyone else does. That's called "being average". Sometimes, the pursuit of excellence requires decisions that can create short-term underperformance (and let's face it, four years is "short-term" in the context of an entire life). To be [...]

By |March 6th, 2017|Categories: News|

Wilder / Breazeale: Video Evidence Review

Over the past couple of days, I've poured through the various reports, articles, and social media regarding the Wilder / Breazeale incident. My obsession stems from the fact that this was my first Heavyweight Championship fight. I was at the arena and the hotel when everything happened, so I'm fascinated by how the media and public has reacted. As a long-time Wall Street analyst, the whole thing mirrors what I see in the stock market every day. People are fed a lot of conflicting information, which is a shame. But it's also a shame that the people take this information and simply believe what they want to [...]

By |March 1st, 2017|Categories: News|

Wilder / Breazeale Hotel “Brawl” – A Case Study In Media Distortions

Editor's Note: This article is not about stocks, but teaches an important lesson about investing. After several hard weeks of stock research, I decided to get out of town to attend the WBC Heavyweight Championship fight between reigning champion Deontay Wilder (now 38-0, 37 KOs) and Gerald Washington (18-1-1, 12 KOs). Wilder prevailed by TKO in five. After feeling (and wearing) his opponent out for four rounds, Wilder unleashed a fifth-round storm that culminated in a referee stoppage. Unfortunately, the win was marred by an incident involving Dominique Breazeale, the WBC's #11 ranked heavyweight who won an undercard matchup. For background and the media's [...]

By |February 27th, 2017|Categories: News|Tags: , |

Stock News & Market Update

GSAT Is Raised to a BUY New Chardan has GSAT)+to+Buy/12589155.html" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">raised Globalstar (GSAT) to a Buy with a $2.50 Price Target. In the upgrade note, they said, "We are raising our recommendation on Globalstar to Buy with a $2.50 price target. The price target assumes a constellation valuation of 7.5x EBITDA, or $200 million and values the US terrestrial spectrum at $1.00/MHz-POP. We are placing no value on the company's international spectrum that could be re-allocated for terrestrial usage, but obviously this would drive valuation much higher." I still like the idea of writing the July 1.50 calls at [...]

By |February 24th, 2017|Categories: News|

Market Update + Mattersight

Charts Topping Out While investor sentiment reaches relatively extreme levels (which is traditionally bearish), the indexes are all within one percentage point of hitting the top of my Risk/Reward channels: I've been cautious for a couple months, which hasn't seemed like the right thing to do. However, I know two things: 1) being cautious doesn't always pay off, but 2) nobody loses big chunks of their money being cautious. I remain cautious and continue to believe that we'll get a chance to buy stocks for a lower price than we saw when I issued my Yellow Alert. My prior four [...]

By |February 13th, 2017|Categories: News|