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Sentiment May Sink The Ship

As usual, Lance Roberts is out with another insightful missive. Among the data points, I found that I could add some value to his blurb on investor sentiment. Long ago, I did a study on investor sentiment. In the end, I determined that a high level of positive sentiment is not enough to serve as a reliable market-correction indicator - it has to be accompanied by a low level of negative sentiment. In other words, don't just look at bulls - look at bulls minus bears. I call that bull/bear divergence. As you can see below, Investors Intelligence Bull/Bear divergence just reached a level [...]

By |February 3rd, 2017|Categories: News|

Market Update & New Picks

Trump / Market Update To kick things off, I've recorded a short videocast to provide my take on Lance Roberts' latest stock market update. Moving on to the latest info regarding the Trump administration, UBS recently stated that each incoming presidential administration "has a finite amount of political capital". Basically, if one agenda gets pushed too hard it can sap support for other agendas. We can easily envision that occurring in the aftermath of this week's immigration firestorm. UBS also believe that the new administration will likely prioritize "comprehensive tax reform focusing on: 1) lowering corporate tax rates 2) providing a tax [...]

By |January 31st, 2017|Categories: News|

Trading Lesson & Legal Update

One of the investors in my network provides me with great industry research. In turn, I trade notes with him and occasionally offer insight regarding my personal trading Methodology. For your benefit, here's a slightly edited copy of a discussion we had this week... Investor - We really just need this industry to move forward and issue orders. This industry is world-class at writing blog articles telling us the benefits of NFV service assurance. It'd be nice if someone besides AT&T opened their wallet. MG - Patience grasshopper. The world doesn't move at the speed of stocks. Imagine being the CIO of [...]

By |January 27th, 2017|Categories: News|

Dow 20,000 & My Latest Personal Trades

The Dow finally cracked 20,000 this morning. In my most recent Seeking Alpha article ( Trump Might Keep These Stocks Afloat... Until Spring) I said, "until the tax-cut measures are introduced into Congress (months from now), the market has the potential to creep upward. Risk/Reward is elevated, but there's some still room for the Dow (NYSEARCA:DIA) to rise". This comment may seem to run counter to my ongoing "Yellow Alert". However, in reality, both can coexist. A Yellow Alert warns of elevated risk/reward conditions. Those Alerts have a great track record of presaging market drops: However, precise timing is something I'll never claim [...]

By |January 25th, 2017|Categories: News|

Trade Alert — Selling Celsius (For Now)

Hi, I'm fresh back from Europe and working hard this morning. Since releasing my original Ten Trump Trades report, Celsius (OTCQX:CELH) has been on a tear. In just 10 weeks, the stock has risen 70% to $3.70. Contributing to the rise, on December 30, 2016 Hoi Shuen Chau, a major holder of Celsius acquired 533,333 shares of the company. The buys took place at $3.00 per share. Chau now owns 5,376,030 shares of the company. Chau operates out of Wanchai, K3. I've personally sold all of my shares for now. This has been a big move and I'd love to see their initial China [...]

By |January 24th, 2017|Categories: News|

Globalstar – 6 Cents Or 6 Bucks?

On December 23, the FCC announced the adoption of Globalstar's (NASDAQ:GSAT) revised petition for terrestrial authority. On January 6, Globalstar held a conference call to discuss its view of the implications. Predictably, this reignited the battleground debate surrounding GSAT's proper valuation. Some believe that the FCC ruling presages a rise in the shares from the current sub-$2 levels to something north of $6. Others contend that the equity has no value. This article will provide my view on the ongoing debate. For the record, I initiated coverage on Globalstar back in 2013 at $0.67 per share. Looking at the range [...]

By |January 10th, 2017|Categories: News|

Globalstar (GSAT) Should Rise After Bullish Conference Call

I launched coverage on Globalstar (NASDAQ:GSAT) in August of 2013. The shares traded at 67-cents. I viewed them as worth three times as much -- $2.00. It reached my price target in just four months. Before a year had passed, the stock topped $4.50. With my valuation target met, I dropped coverage… but kept an eye on the company and its stock. For the record, my investment premise was not based on prediction of whether the FCC would approve GSAT's spectrum for Terrestrial Low-Power Service (TLPS). The premise was based on the odds of approval - risk/reward. On the most simplistic level, think of it [...]

By |January 6th, 2017|Categories: News|

Trump’s Changes: 2017 Predictions & Picks

As most investors know by now, President-elect Trump (with broad-based Republican support) intends to cut the capital gains tax in 2017. This article will review how that affected the stock market since Election Day, what it means for how individual stocks will react this year, and some of my stock selections. First of all, be prepared for winners to become losers and vice versa. January is here and things are playing out as discussed in my recent articles. The January Effect is already in effect. In fact, it’s operating in turbo mode, due to a variety of factors. The anticipated [...]

By |January 5th, 2017|Categories: News|

Trump Trades: Tax-Cut Implications Will Be HUUUUUGE

Remember the Reagan-era tax cuts? Remember how the stock market ripped during his Presidency? Expecting a repeat of that era as the Trump administration kicks off? Think again. One of the biggest mistakes that investors make is comparing one similar-seeming point in time to another. This is one of the reasons why 90% of day traders lose money (the extensive reliance on past patterns to make trading decisions). The lesson is simple - investors should always view each situation for what it is (and not in comparison to something that seemed similar in the past). Sure, the coin may come up heads [...]

By |December 29th, 2016|Categories: News|

In 2017, Rectify Mistakes & Get Rich

As most of my long-time followers know, personal and professional disasters marred the back half of 2014 and rendered my 2015 a total washout. It all served to prove that even successful stock analysts are human. Mercifully, 2016 was a year regained footing. With mistakes and relationships of the past (some of which were one and the same) firmly in the rear-view mirror, I enter 2017 refocused on the processes that fueled my successful career, early retirement, and rise to popularity on Seeking Alpha. This article will provide a review and preview for investors who plan on following my work [...]

By |December 29th, 2016|Categories: News|